“UFC 127: Penn vs. Fitch” will be going down at Acer Arena this Saturday, Feb. 26, in Sydney, Australia.
We previewed the first fight on the televised Pay-Per-View portion of the card yesterday, and now we’ll be focusing on the welterweight match-up between Chris Lytle and late replacement Brian Ebersole.
Ebersole is a veteran of the sport, starting his MMA career in 2000 while fighting all over the world. He began his career fighting primarily on the mid-west circuit in Indiana before fighting the majority of his most recent fights in Australia.
I’m sure the latter factored into the UFC’s decision to bring him in on short notice to replace an injured Carlos Condit.
Ebersole has a career record of (46-14-1) with 20 wins via submission and another 13 via TKO/KO. He’s currently riding a seven fight winning streak dating back to 2008 with his last loss coming against Bellator middleweight champion Hector Lombard.
Chris Lytle is another longtime veteran of the sport, making his MMA debut back in 1999, while making his UFC debut the following year. He has fought some of the best welterweights in the world and has never been knocked out or submitted.
Lytle brings a career record of (38-17) with 19 submissions wins and four wins via submission. Lytle is currently riding a four-fight winning streak with his last loss coming via split decision to Marcus Davis at UFC 93 in 2009.
BetonFighting.com has Lytle as the favorite going into this one with a betting line of (-275 Lytle / Ebersole +215).
It’s unquestionable who has fought the better competition over their respective careers. Lytle is known for getting into slugfests with his opponents, having won four “fight of the night” honors.
However, he has also won the “submission of the night” honor on two occasions as well due to his underrated submission game. I think Lytle’s submission game could be the difference in this fight. If we take a look at Ebersole’s record, you’ll see that eight of his 14 losses were due to him being submitted.
Lytle has become very good at lulling his opponents into slug fests before going to work with an offensive submission game. The percentages are against Ebersole being able to finish Lytle, so it will most likely be a decision win if he’s able to pull off the upset.
Maybe the wars Lytle has been involved with will finally start to catch up with him. Could Ebersole stun him then put him away? While anything is possible, I think Lytle either submits Ebersole or takes the decision win to extend his winning streak out to five.