According to the betting lines, there are two mismatches on this card. That’s not how I feel about it. I think there’s one mismatch and I’m about to tell you what it is… you probably already know. How presumptuous of me.
The UFC 175 co-main event between Ronda Rousey and Alexis Davis is a mismatch; by the fight odds and in my own opinion. 5Dimes has the numbers:
- Ronda Rousey -1750
- Alexis Davis +850
Rousey is too good an athlete for Alexis Davis. I predict this fight will end in the first round yet again for Rousey, and with her hand raised. Whether it ends on the feet or on the ground will largely depend on what Davis gives her to work with. But I think she can finish on the feet or on the ground.
The oddsmakers have one more fight on this card as a mismatch, and that is the bantamweight match-up between Urijah Faber and Alex “Bruce Leeroy” Caceres. Here’s the numbers on that fight:
- Urijah Faber -1580
- Alex Caceres +750
If you just look at their records, who’s fought who, all the title fights Faber has been in, etc., one could deduce that Faber is a pretty large favorite here. But if you watch The MMA Hour, you know our man Caceres has been experimenting with Ayahuasca, and he largely credits his cosmonaut experiences with the vast improvement in his skills and his performances inside the Octagon. Who knows if it has really helped him… but something has. The improvement he’s shown over the last couple years has been impressive (see record).
We know what Faber brings to the table. It doesn’t change that much. But Caceres continues to evolve and I think this will be his “coming out party” so to speak. I’m not saying Faber can’t beat him, but these odds aren’t accurate in my opinion.
Here’s the rest of the UFC 175 fight odds:
- Chris Weidman -200 vs. Lyoto Machida +170
- Matt Mitrione +160 vs. Stefan Struve -210
- Thiago Santos +305 vs. Uriah Hall -425
- Marcus Brimage -120 vs. Russell Doane -120
- Ildemar Alcantara -125 vs. Kenny Robertson -115
- Bruno Santos +180 vs. Chris Camozzi -260
- George Roop -180 vs. Rob Font +140
- Guilherme Vasconcalos -150 vs. Luke Zachrich +110
- Kevin Casey +125 vs. William Bush -165
Do you think Davis has a chance against Rousey, and do you think Caceres is ready for the Faber’s of the world?